-
-
FIRST AMONG EQUALS :
EPILOGUE
-
-
-
- After NASA Headquarters and the Space
Science Board were reorganized in November 1961, NASA and its
space scientists settled into a regular productive routine. After
the early launch vehicle failures, NASA learned to build launch
vehicles and spacecraft that normally worked. Instead of the only
four out of ten successful missions in 1959, nine out ten missions
were successful in the mid 1960s, thereby reducing one of the
risks to space scientists. As more and more groups participated in
successful missions and acquired large amounts of data, the
competition became less severe and the failure to get aboard a
mission less of a calamity. In turn, space scientists learned NASA
procedures, served on the subcommittees, gained confidence in the
integrity of the system, and recognized that submitting superior
scientific proposals was the only way to get on NASA missions.
NASA accepted most of the recommendations of the subcommittees,
established new missions and issued Announcements of Flight
Opportunity (AFOs). Scientists submitted proposals. NASA selected
some and rejected others. Space science prospered through the
first half of the 1960s.
-
- In the mid-1960s-as students rioted in the
streets, funding decreased for new space science missions, the
number of space scientists continued to increase, competition
became more intense, the NASA bureaucracy increased in size and
power-the subcommittee procedures began to change. First to go was
the personal appearance of the scientist before the subcommittee
to plead his or her case and be questioned by the members of the
subcommittee. The members of the subcommittees themselves brought
about this change. They became concerned about this procedure.
Didn't it give an unfair advantage to the articulate over the
inarticulate scientist? Didn't it give the proposers an
opportunity to subtly modify their proposal as they answered
subcommittee questions? How could the members of a subcommittee be
sure everyone was given an equitable opportunity to fly unless
they based their judgments on written proposals that were all
delivered to NASA on a specified date?
-
- If the written proposal was to be the sole
document upon which to base a decision, then great care had to be
taken to ensure that the proposal contained all the relevant
information needed for evaluation. As a result, AFOs and proposals
became longer and more complex.
-
- Next, the pressure from the NASA legal and
procurement staffs to avoid any appearance of conflict of interest
began to override the need to have the most competent scientists
evaluate proposals. The chairperson had to exclude a member not
only during the evaluation of his or her own proposal but also
during the evaluation of any other proposals from that member's
institution. Obviously, there was also a conflict of interest if a
scientist reviewed a competitor's proposal. Subcommittee
chairpersons found that before they could start to evaluate a set
of proposals, they must examine all the proposals to be evaluated
and then augment the membership of their subcommittees by
additional consultants so that they had a group with no appearance
of any conflict of interest with respect to any of the
proposals.
-
- As the flight opportunities decreased,
however, and the number and quality of the competing scientists
increased, it became virtually impossible to use active,
knowledgeable space scientists to evaluate proposals-they all had
conflicts of interest. In a little over a decade, the efforts to
avoid any appearance of a conflict of interest bad taken the
selection out of the hands of the knowledgeable, experienced space
scientist and placed it is the hands of "disinterested"
scientists, with little or no knowledge of the field or the
competence of the competing scientists. Fortunately, by the late
1980s, NASA recognized the need to relax some of its
conflict-of-interest regulations and to begin once more to use
competent practicing space scientists to evaluate proposals-but
not their own, of course.
-
- In the beginning, the Announcement of
Flight Opportunity was essential and solved many of the problems
in the selection process. Unfortunately, it also moved space
science an enormous distance down the bureaucratic road. The AFO
and the scientists' response to it became formidable documents.
The fifth NASA AFO, issued in July 1965, ran 107 pages.
176 It described the NASA selection process and the
opportunities for research on seven scientific missions, the
Apollo Program, Explorers, sounding rockets, and the X-15 and
Convair 990 research airplanes. Aspiring space scientists had to
read all this, decide which missions interested them, then
promptly inform NASA of those missions so that NASA could inform
them of any changes in the schedule or the spacecraft for those
missions. Proposals grew to 50 or 100 pages as the competing
scientists strove to convince the subcommittees of the merits of
their experiments. Finally, to cope with the burgeoning blizzard
of paper, NASA placed a strict limit on the number of pages that
could be included in a proposal.
-
- NASA Abolishes the
Subcommittees
-
- As the number of scientific missions and
the competition for their payload space increased during the
mid-1960s, most of a subcommittee's time was taken up with
evaluating experiments and little was available to help plan
NASA's scientific missions. In 1966, NASA created the Lunar and
Planetary Missions Board and the Astronomy Missions Board to plan
most of NASA's scientific missions. In 1969, NASA revised its
advisory structure, retaining the Space Science Steering Committee
to oversee the selection process but eliminating the
subcommittees. NASA changed 37-1-1 so that it required the program
offices to establish, for each mission, a separate working group
whose sole purpose was to evaluate the proposals for that
particular mission. As a result, the corporate memory provided by
the overlapping membership of the subcommittees was lost. NASA had
to wait until it had received all the proposals for the mission
before it appointed the members of the working group to be sure
they had no conflict of interest. 177
-
- The aspiring, perspiring space scientist,
however, no longer sits down by himself or herself to compose a
fifty-page proposal. Instead, he or she assembles a large team of
co-investigators to write individual parts of, and increase the
credibility of, the proposal. Foreign scientists join the team to
furnish part of the instrument and handle some of the data
analysis. This reduces the cost of the instrument thereby making
it more attractive to a program office trying to keep the overall
cost of the mission down. Industrial subcontractors help prepare
the proposal. Three to six months later the team, along with ten
or so competing teams, delivers a tightly written proposal to
NASA. According to McDonald, organizing a team of co-investigators
and preparing a technical proposal limited to twenty-five pages is
still the most difficult work a space scientist does.
178 NASA calls on a
contractor to assemble the working group who will evaluate and
place the proposals in the usual four categories. A Headquarters
scientist uses the recommendations of the working group to select
the teams to participate in the mission. Otherwise, the basic
procedure is the much the same as that laid down in 37-1-1 in
April 1960.
-
- NASA's selection process continues to
work. Generally, superior scientists are selected, their
instruments perform well, and they make scientific discoveries.
Scientists who are not selected occasionally protest the decision
to the associate administrator for the Office of Space Science.
Very rarely do they take their protest beyond the associate
administrator to the NASA chief scientist or the NASA
administrator. In 1971, Dr. Charles W. Townes, chairman of the
Space Science Board, protested the selection of the scientists who
had been chosen to conduct experiments during the Apollo-Soyuz
mission, the joint American and Soviet mission. In this case,
because of a shortage of time, the associate administrator for the
Office of Space Science had decided not to follow TMI 37-1-1 and
instead had selected a group of scientists who already had
experiments ready. After Townes' protest, the associate
administrator ran a high-speed selection process that rivaled that
started by Lloyd Berkner's 4th-of-July telegram in 1958. Except
for this instance, no scientist has overturned a decision made by
an associate administrator for the Office of Space Science.
-
- Although the selection process continues
to work, the paperwork is enormous and the process is ponderous
and impersonal. A decade or two may pass from the time NASA issues
an AFO to the publication of the scientific results. Young,
creative, ambitious scientists no longer find space science as
attractive as they once did. To begin with, a space scientist can
no longer expect to follow up an exciting discovery within a year
or two. He or she must now wait ten to twenty years between major
missions. Einstein, the last x-ray observatory, flew in 1978;
AXAF, the Advanced X-Ray Astronomy Facility, the next U.S. x-ray
observatory, will not fly until the mid-1990s. The last orbiting
astronomical observatory ceased operation in the early 1970s; the
next observatory. the Hubble telescope, was not launched until
1990. In addition, the length of time between missions, the cost
and complexity of scientific instruments, and the size and caliber
of the engineering team required to prepare an instrument make it
extremely difficult for academic scientists to participate in the
space science Program.
-
- Nevertheless, despite all the delays, the
paperwork, and the risks of space flight, the exploration of the
invisible universe beyond our atmosphere continues to challenge
scientists and engineers. In February 1989, NASA announced the
selection of scientists for the Earth Observing System (EOS);
179 455 experiments were proposed for EOS. NASA
selected 58 proposals involving 551 scientists from 168
institutions located in 32 states and 13 countries. The process
for selecting space scientists continues to present a difficult
and complex challenge to NASA Headquarters.
-
- The Space Science Board recently completed
a study that developed the strategy for an ambitious and exciting
space program for the period 1995 through 2015.
180 The National Commission on Space proposed an agenda
for the civilian space program for the next fifty years.
181 NASA reviewed four
major space initiatives to see which to start in the next decade;
Mission to Planet Earth, Exploration of the Solar System, Outpost
on the Moon, and Humans to Mars. 182 On July 20, 1989, President George Bush announced a
long-range commitment to space exploration, including a space
station, a manned outpost on the Moon, and a manned mission to
Mars. 183 It appears quite possible that in April 2060 an
associate administrator for the Office of Space Science will be
selecting space scientists using the same basic process prescribed
in TMI 37-1-1 in April 1960.

